EIA's most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook projects that wind generation will increase 16% in 2016, as significant capacity additions are expected to come online, adding another 6 GW, or 9%, to operating wind capacity in 2015.

Wind generation growth slowed in 2015 as wind speeds declined in key regions

Reprinted with permission | Today In Energy

 

U.S. wind generation grew by 5.1% in 2015, the smallest annual increase since at least 1999, as weather patterns in the Western half of the United States lowered wind speeds and dampened wind generation during the first half of the year. The same weather patterns resulted in stronger winds in the central part of the country, where wind generation growth in 2015 was most pronounced.

Source: Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly

 

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly

 

Wind energy produced 191 terawatthours (TWh) of electricity in 2015, accounting for 4.7% of net U.S. electric power generation, up from 4.4% in 2014. Wind was the second-largest source of electricity produced from renewable sources, behind hydroelectricity, and 11 states generated more than 10% of their total electricity generation from wind. Both the absolute amount of wind generation and wind's share of total U.S. electricity generation have risen every year since at least 1999.

Wind capacity additions grew by 12.9% in 2015, an increase over the growth over the previous two years. In 2015, 8.1 gigawatts (GW) of wind capacity was installed, representing 41% of total capacity additions and bringing the total U.S. wind capacity to 73 GW. Capacity additions in 2013 were at their lowest point since 1998, when 0.9 GW were installed, due in part to expiring tax credits that have since been extended.

Year-to-year changes in wind generation reflect both the changes in wind capacity and yearly variations in the wind resource. Wind resources reflect seasonal wind patterns, which vary based on regional factors and are subject to year-to-year climate variations. At the state level, three states in the Pacific Census division—California, Oregon, and Washington—saw decreases in wind generation in 2015, as did most of the states in the Mountain Census division. Meanwhile, all but 1 of the 12 states in the Midwest region saw increases in generation.

Wind Generation

Wind Capacity

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly

Texas continues to be the nation's largest producer of wind energy. Texas accounted for 44% of all wind capacity additions in 2015; Oklahoma and Kansas, the states to its immediate north, made up another 25%. In 2015, 17.7 GW of installed wind capacity in Texas produced nearly 45 TWh, accounting for 24% of all U.S. wind power. Texas built a 3,600-mile transmission network that can connect wind-generated electricity from rural areas to urban load centers. That system and the strong winds on the Texas plains have helped enable the state's substantial wind generation.

EIA's most recent Short-Term Energy Outlook projects that wind generation will increase 16% in 2016, as significant capacity additions are expected to come online, adding another 6 GW, or 9%, to operating wind capacity in 2015. Based on those capacity additions and the expected performance of wind turbines in each region, wind is projected to supply more than 5% of U.S. electricity generation in 2016.

Principal contributors: Allen McFarland, Cara Marcy


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